UFC on Fuel TV 8

Today marks my official event coverage of the upcoming UFC card on Fuel TV to take place in Japan. It’s a surprisingly stacked card (for not being Pay-Per-View) and is a card that features a lot of exciting fighters in match ups that are destined to be crowd-pleasing. Before we start analyzing and predicting the individual match ups on this card, let’s take a look at the current betting odds (according to the odds opened through 5Dimes Sportsbook).

Wanderlei Silva +145
Brian Stann -175

Mark Hunt +135
Stefan Struve -165

Takanori Gomi +250
Diego Sanchez -350

Yushin Okami +170
Hector Lombard -230

Mizuto Hirota -110
Rani Yahya -130

Siyar Bahadurzada +145
Dong Hyun Kim -185

Riki Fukuda -120
Brad Tavares -120

Takeya Mizugaki -210
Bryan Caraway +160

Cristiano Marcello +105
Kazuki Tokudome -145

Alex Caceres +115
Kyung Ho Kang -155

Marcelo Guimares +170
Hyun Gyu Lim -230

In breaking each one down you won’t see any major upset picks. The biggest underdog being Takanori Gomi against Diego Sanchez, a match where I think Gomi is outmatched in. However, there is one fight that I would personally bet money on and that is Mark Hunt.

Mark Hunt

Mark Hunt is a +135 underdog, not a HUGE underdog but he’s still profitable in fight that I was expecting him to be a big favorite. When you compare this fight stylistically with Struve’s fight against Nelson, it’s very similar. Nelson was able to land his big right hand on Struve in the first round and finish the fight very quickly. Hunt brings in that same power (maybe even more), along with more technique and a wider arsenal of strikes. The one thing Hunt does NOT have that Nelson does however is a solid ground game. It’s possible that Struve was expecting their fight to go to the ground, so he wasn’t ready for the big power on the feet; however, you have to think Hunt will be able to get his hands on him regardless.

I’m picking Hunt as a slight underdog in this fight. At +135 you can’t really make much off him, however he’s a solid candidate for a parlay which i’ll cover next.

For a parlay there is a variety of ones that I would recommend; here is one that I’m personally rolling with on my own fantasy betting account:

Kyung Ho Kang -155
Mizuto Hirota -110
Mark Hunt +135

So you have a favorite in KHK, a very slight favorite in Hirota, and a slight underdog in Hunt.

I’m very confident in Kyung Ho Kang in his battle with Alex Caceres, however it’s always risky when betting on fighters who are making their UFC debut. Honestly, I could see Caceres being a favorite in this fight if people didn’t read into what Kang is all about. Kang brings an exciting grappling base and some real solid athleticism to go along with it. I think he’ll be able to out point Caceres where it counts and prove why he’s the favorite in this fight.

With Hirota, a slight favorite, he’s in a striker vs. grappler battle against Yahya. I’m parlaying Hirota simply because I have faith in his defense in grappling scenarios, and his offense on the feet. I think Yahya is outgunned in this fight.

And lastly, Mark Hunt. Like I mentioned above, stylistically he’s a bad match up for Struve. Not quite as bad as Nelson was but I think Hunt is capable of producing the first round KO just like Nelson was.

Well, that sums up the betting odds and my thoughts on them. Be sure to stay tuned for more coverage; including in-depth analysis and predictions.

-Hodgi