courtesy of mmaweekly.com

It’s been a crazy past 4 weeks in the MMA world with a UFC card every weekend. This Saturday is the long-awaited UFC 159 card featuring the “Most important light-heavyweight bout in history” between Chael Sonnen and Jon Jones. It’s a stacked 12-bout card with some pretty tasty odds! So pay attention!

Here are the betting odds for this weekend according to fantasy betting site MMAPlayground.com:

Chael Sonnen +370
Jon “Bones” Jones -410

Cheick Kongo +340
Roy Nelson -400

Vinicius “Pezao” Magalhaes +325
Phil Davis -345

Pat “Bam Bam” Healy +680
Jim Miller -750

Alan “The Talent” Belcher +170
Michael “The Count” Bisping -180

Nick Catone +115
James Head -150

Yancy “Frisson” Medeiros +560
Rustam “Tiger” Khabilov -600

Gian Villante +360
Ovince St. Preux -400

Sheila “The German Tank” Gaff +360
Sara McMann -400

Cody “Big Time” Mckenzie +100
Leonard “Bad Boy” Garcia -105

Kurt Holobaugh +235
Steven “Super” Siler -255

Bryan “Kid Lightning” Caraway +150
Johnny “Brutal” Bedford -160

Smart Bets

Bryan Caraway over Johnny Bedford at +150 – This pick is pretty decent. You have a big, gritty John Fitch look-alike in Bedford who has several losses via submission taking on a guy who basically only wins by submission. Caraway is extremely good at closing distance, and getting fights to the ground. Bedford’s ability to control distance will really be a factor in this bout, because if he allows Caraway on the inside, he could very well be tapping out. This is a nice little bet to make a little bit of profit on.

Yancy Medeiros over Rustam Khabilov at +560 – “Rusty” is coming into this bout with LOTS of hype. He had an incredibly impressive UFC debut that showcased his powerful wrestling skills and dangerous ability in the grappling department. However, he beat a fairly unknown opponent (a TUF reject), and he is an extreme favorite for this about as he is against another fairly unknown fighter. However, his opponent is no joke as he has nearly all of his victories by KO. Remember, these are lightweights. Medeiros is a talented, aggressive, hard hitting fighter who could easily clip an overly confident Khabilov and derail his hype trade. At extreme odds, Medeiros is a decent bet.

James Head over Nick Catone at -150 – This isn’t a very profitable pick, but it’s a pretty solid one. Catone is on a two-fight losing streak and has yet to win a bout at 170 lbs. James Head, also coming off a loss, is looking to get his third win at 170. Both of these guys are former middleweight fighters, so they’re both very physically strong for being welterweights. Which means that they’re not going to have a size advantage over eachother, so who does that benefit? Catone is primarily a grappler who tries to get the fight in the clinch or on the ground. Head on the other hand has the better striking, is more technical, and I’d say is more well-rounded. That non-existent size advantage for either fighter will benefit Head in what should be a fairly lackluster bout.

Vinny Magalhaes over Phil Davis at +325 – Honestly, I find this a VERY winnable bout for Magalhaes. Both of these guys are not very skilled on the feet. Davis has the athleticism and massive size advantage, but neither of them very good technique on the feet. Davis relies on his wrestling to win fights, which will play exactly into Magalhaes’s gameplan. I really doubt Davis will be able to keep the fight on the feet for 15 minutes while defending takedowns with his amount of stand-up experience, so Magalhaes is a very smart bet. His finishing ability when in contact of his opponent is extremely impressive, so bank on him getting it done. Technique over size in this bout.

courtesy of mmaweekly.com

My Personal Parlays:

Vinny Magalhaes +350
Michael Bisping -180
James Head -150

Bryan Caraway +150
Michael Bisping -180
Cody McKenzie +100